Democratic Party Losses Outpace GOP While Non-Partisan and Minor Parties Continue to Gain

The 2017 session of the Nevada Legislature is finishing its first month and Voter registration numbers for February, 2017 do not bode well for the majority party.

The Democratic Party lost voter share across all tracked demographics. The Republican Party lost share except in Washoe County and stayed even in the rural counties. However, the news remains positive for Non-Partisan and minor parties, continuing the trend of gaining voter share.

Of note is the growth percentage for the Libertarian Party in Clark County, among those 55 and over and state-wide; 1.00%, 0.76%, and 0.74% respectively. The Independent American Party also posted a 0.89% growth in Clark County, however, there is always a question as to how many of those voters thought they were registering as independents (Non-Partisan).

The Democratic Party also lost ground in virtually all state senate and assembly districts while the Republican Party voter share losses and gains were about even.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	494	0.08	39.51	-0.04
R	682	0.14	33.07	-0.02
NP	1,271	0.40	20.94	0.05
Other	360	0.37	6.48	0.02
Total not D or R			27.42	0.07

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP +0.45%; Lib +0.74%; other 5 parties -0.21%

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	1,417	0.31	43.18	-0.05
R	1,208	0.40	28.85	-0.01
NP	1,499	0.65	21.85	0.04
Other	456	0.71	6.11	0.01
Total not D or R			27.96	0.05

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP +0.89%; Lib +1.00%; other 5 parties -0.11%

 Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-640	-0.67	35.71	-0.11
R	-195	-0.20	37.16	0.07
NP	-149	-0.28	19.88	0.02
Other	-35	-0.18	7.26	0.02
Total not D or R			27.14	0.04

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP -0.20%; Lib -0.22%; other 5 parties -0.44%

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-283	-0.62	24.24	-0.06
R	-331	-0.35	51.07	0.03
NP	-79	-0.24	17.28	0.03
Other	-35	-0.18	7.41	0.00
Total not D or R			24.69	0.03

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP -0.58%; Lib +0.42%; other 5 parties -0.55%

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-119	-0.07	39.62	-0.01
R	-180	-0.19	22.69	-0.04
NP	82	0.07	29.63	0.03
Other	19	-0.06	8.06	0.01
Total not D or R			37.69	0.04

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP +0.17%; Lib +0.55%; other 5 parties -0.62%

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	444	0.18	40.01	-0.06
R	825	0.33	40.46	0.00
NP	483	0.55	14.34	0.03
Other	183	0.58	5.18	0.01
Total not D or R			19.52	0.04

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP +0.55%; Lib +0.76%; other 5 parties +0.63%

Major party loses also continue in congressional and legislative districts.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	2	1	1
Non-Partisan	0	4	0
Other	0	4	0

Both CD 1 and CD 4continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties.

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	20	1	0
Republican	9	11	1
Non-Partisan	2	18	1
Other	2	19	0

In 13 districts (61.9%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is unchanged from last month.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	37	2	3
Republican	21	18	3
Non-Partisan	8	32	2
Other	6	32	4

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is unchanged from last month.

The percent of voters not affiliated with either the Democratic or Republican Party is on a pace to equal and perhaps surpass the percent registered to vote in one of the major parties. Among those 18 to 34 years of age, the number of Non-Partisan is seven percentage points higher than those registered in the GOP and the total not affiliated with a major party is only two percent lower than the percent registered as Democratic.