Voter registration statistics for January, 2016 are in. Not
surprising is that given the emphasis on the presidential caucuses and voter
registration efforts by both the Democratic and Republican Parties along with
their presidential candidates, the numbers show movement in their favor.
During the month of January, 2016, the state gained 15,949
voters over the previous month. The following tables show the impact.
State-Wide
Party
|
Change in # Voters
|
% Change
|
% Voter Share
|
% Difference in Voter Share
|
D
|
7,142
|
1.34
|
39.15
|
0.08
|
R
|
6,720
|
1.54
|
35.16
|
0.09
|
NP
|
1,810
|
0.78
|
19.46
|
-0.11
|
Other
|
277
|
0.37
|
6.23
|
-0.06
|
Total not D or R
|
25.69
|
-0.17
|
Clark County
Party
|
Change in # Voters
|
% Change
|
% Voter Share
|
% Difference in Voter Share
|
D
|
5,860
|
1.70
|
42.94
|
0.05
|
R
|
4,767
|
1.91
|
31.15
|
0.10
|
NP
|
1,698
|
1.04
|
20.14
|
-0.11
|
Other
|
330
|
0.71
|
5.77
|
-0.05
|
Total not D or R
|
25.91
|
-0.16
|
Washoe County
Party
|
Change in # Voters
|
% Change
|
% Voter Share
|
% Difference in Voter Share
|
D
|
925
|
1.15
|
35.35
|
0.15
|
R
|
914
|
1.04
|
38.57
|
0.12
|
NP
|
-81
|
-0.19
|
18.97
|
-0.17
|
Other
|
-93
|
-0.57
|
7.10
|
-0.09
|
Total not D or R
|
26.07
|
-0.26
|
Rural Counties
Party
|
Change in # Voters
|
% Change
|
% Voter Share
|
% Difference in Voter Share
|
D
|
357
|
0.91
|
25.07
|
-0.03
|
R
|
1,039
|
1.31
|
50.96
|
0.13
|
NP
|
193
|
0.74
|
16.63
|
-0.05
|
Other
|
40
|
0.35
|
7.34
|
-0.05
|
Total not D or R
|
23.97
|
-0.10
|
18 – 34 Year Old
Party
|
Change in # Voters
|
% Change
|
% Voter Share
|
% Difference in Voter Share
|
D
|
3.628
|
3.47
|
38.06
|
0.41
|
R
|
1,692
|
2.41
|
25.24
|
0.01
|
NP *
|
1,060
|
1.31
|
28.90
|
-0.30
|
Other
|
179
|
0.81
|
7.80
|
-0.12
|
Total not D or R
|
36.70
|
-0.42
|
*NOTE – Non-Partisan registration exceeds Republican by
3.66%
55+
Party
|
Change in # Voters
|
% Change
|
% Voter Share
|
% Difference in Voter Share
|
D
|
1,538
|
0.72
|
40.18
|
-0.08
|
R
|
3,154
|
1.47
|
40.83
|
0.22
|
NP
|
200
|
0.27
|
13.85
|
-0.09
|
Other
|
-32
|
-0.12
|
5.15
|
-0.05
|
Total not D or R
|
19.00
|
-0.14
|
The above trend is similar when looking at individual state
assembly and senate districts. In spite of the changes, there are still 11 (52.38%)
state senate districts and 25 (59.52%) state assembly districts where the
number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or total not registered as either
Democratic or Republican either exceeds or is within 5 percent of one of the
major political parties.
Will state and local candidates be able to maintain this shift
in voter registration following the caucuses up to the June primary election? Will
any gains in registration equate to increased voter turnout? Only time will tell.
What is certain is that the importance of the registered Non-Partisan voter
cannot be ignored.
UPDATE
Interesting
statistic from Ralston Reports on February 10, 2016. Jon Ralston looked at the annual growth in
overall registration for the year preceding the last three presidential
elections, 2007, 2011, and 2015. The rate of growth of Non-Partisan voters far
outdistanced the growth of either the Democratic or Republican Party. As shown
below, the rate of growth for Non-Partisan increased while the rate of growth
for both major parties decreased. Ralston did not include minor
parties in his analysis.
2007
Party
|
Increase in # Voters
|
% Share of Increase
|
D
|
19,782
|
47.69
|
R
|
14,316
|
34.51
|
NP
|
7,384
|
17.80
|
Total
|
41,482
|
2011
Party
|
Increase in # Voters
|
% Share of Increase
|
Change in Rate of Increase
|
D
|
15,898
|
37.76
|
-9.93
|
R
|
15,153
|
36.00
|
+1.49
|
NP
|
11,046
|
26.24
|
+8.44
|
Total
|
42,097
|
2015
Party
|
Increase in # Voters
|
% Share of Increase
|
Change in Rate of Increase
|
D
|
33,677
|
36.58
|
-1.18
|
R
|
31,045
|
33.73
|
-2.27
|
NP
|
27,331
|
29.69
|
+3.45
|
Total
|
92,053
|
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