2015 Voter Registration – A Good Year for GOP and Non-Partisan, Not True for Democrats

By all measurements, across all demographics, 2015 was not a good year for the Democratic Party in Nevada. While the Republican Party and Non-Partisan gained voter share, the Democratic Party lost share. In some areas, the loss was over one percent. Conversely, Republican gains also topped the one percent level. Minor parties also saw a loss. Figures are from December, 2014 and December, 2015 Secretary of State voter registration statistics.

State-wide Percent Voter Share

2014			2015	Diff
D	39.71		39.08	-0.64
R	34.53		35.07	0.54
NP	19.33		19.56	0.24
O	6.43		6.29	-0.14

 Clark County Percent Voter Share

2014			2015	Diff
D	43.46		42.88	-0.58
R	30.53		31.05	0.52
NP	20.02		20.24	0.22
O	5.99		5.82	-0.17

Washoe County Percent Voter Share

2014			2015	Diff
D	35.53		35.21	-0.32
R	38.38		38.45	0.07
NP	18.72		19.14	0.42
O	7.36		7.20	-0.16

Rural Counties Percent Voter Share

2014			2015	Diff
D	26.28		25.10	-1.18
R	49.70		50.83	1.13
NP	16.61		16.68	0.07
O	7.41		7.39	-0.02

18 – 34 Year Old Percent Voter Share

2014			2015	Diff
D	37.98		37.65	-0.33
R	24.62		25.23	0.61
NP	29.18		29.20	0.02
O	8.22		7.92	-0.30

55+ Year Old Percent Voter Share

2014			2015	Diff
D	40.89		40.25	-0.64
R	40.01		40.61	0.60
NP	13.84		13.94	0.10
O	5.26		5.20	-0.06

Assembly Districts Percent Voter Share

	Average Diff	High	Low	Note
D	-0.54	0.22	-1.73	Only 3 districts gained share
R	0.47	2.28	-1.05	Only 4 districts lost share
NP	0.23	1.17	-1.19	Only 6 districts lost share
O	-0.15	0.33	-0.72	Only 8 districts gained share

Senate Districts Percent Voter Share

	Average Diff	High	Low	Note
D	-0.55	-0.24	-0.95	All districts lost share. Low in 2 districts
R	0.45	1.17	-0.52	Only 2 districts lost share
NP	0.24	0.88	-0.18	Only 4 districts lost share
O	-0.14	0.29	-0.42	Only 2 districts gained share

Congressional District Percent Voter Share

	Average Diff	High	Low	Note
D	-0.53	-0.40	-0.86	CD1 & 2 shared low. High CD4
R	0.43	0.72	0.23	High CD4 Low CD2
NP	0.24	0.33	0.10	High CD3 Low CD1
O	-0.14	-0.09	-0.20	High CD4 Low CD3

These figures are not surprising. Monthly analyses posted on this blog have consistently shown growth of voters registered as Non-Partisan. While the monthly data has shown both the Democratic and Republican Parties losing voter share; the GOP has shown infrequent gains, recent voter file maintenance has benefited the GOP.

The Presidential Caucuses are one month away, the primary election a mere five. Will the campaigns foster interest that equates to increased partisan voter registration? I’ll be tracking. If registration in the parties increases significantly, will that result in higher primary election turn-out? We’ll know on June 14^th.