As Number of Registered Voters Declines Dems Take The Biggest Hit

March 2017 saw the number of active registered voters in Nevada decline by almost 32,000 and while the Republican Party, Non-Partisan, and minor parties still posted growth in voter share with minor exception, the Democratic Party continued to lose share across all tracked demographics.

Of note, in Clark County the percentage of voters not affiliated with either major party is less than one percent (0.99%) of the Republican Party. In the rural counties the percent not affiliated with the major parties exceeds that registered in the Democratic Party by 0.57% and among voters 18 to 34 years of age the percent registered as Non-Partisan exceeds the percent registered as Republican by 6.93% while the percent not registered as either Democratic or Republican is just 1.74% less than those registered to vote as Democratic.

State-Wide

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-14,463	-2.43	39.39	-0.12
R	-8,447	-1.69	33.22	0.14
NP	-7,183	-2.28	20.90	-0.03
Other	1,879	-1.92	6.49	0.01
Total not D or R			27.39	-0.02

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP -1.75%; Lib -1.74%; other 5 parties -2.75%

Clark County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-14,362	-3.15	43.14	-0.04
R	-8,611	-2.83	28.92	0.07
NP	-7,418	-3.22	21.82	-0.03
Other	-1,968	-3.05	6.11	0.00
Total not D or R			27.93	-0.03

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP -2.83%; Lib -3.13%; other 5 parties -3.77%

 Washoe County

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-160	-0.17	35.68	-0.04
R	-63	-0.06	37.16	0.00
NP	27	0.05	19.90	0.02
Other	9	0.05	7.26	0.00
Total not D or R			27.16	0.02

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP +0.10%; Lib +0.59%; other 5 parties -0.57%

Rural Counties

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	59	0.13	24.20	-0.04
R	227	0.24	51.03	-0.04
NP	208	0.64	17.34	0.06
Other	80	0.58	7.43	0.02
Total not D or R			24.77	0.08

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP +0.48%; Lib +0.78%; other 5 parties +1.20%

18 – 34 Year Old

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-5,969	-3.64	39.50	-0.12
R	-2,949	-3.14	22.74	0.05
NP	-3,930	-3.21	29.67	0.04
Other	-967	-3.57	8.09	0.04
Total not D or R			37.76	0.08

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP -2.83%; Lib -2.31%; other 5 parties -3.57%

55+

Party	Change in # Voters	% Change	% Voter Share	Difference in Voter Share %
D	-3,205	-1.31	39.89	-0.13
R	-1,910	-0.77	40.55	0.09
NP	-742	-0.85	14.36	0.02
Other	-237	-0.75	5.19	0.01
Total not D or R			19.55	0.03

Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.

Change is # voters: IAP -0.76%; Lib -0.30%; other 5 parties -0.98%

Major party loses also continue in congressional and legislative districts.

Congressional Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	4	0	0
Republican	0	4	0
Non-Partisan	3	1	0
Other	1	2	1

Both CD 1 and CD 4continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. In CD2 the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is rapidly approaching the 5% difference against the Democratic Party (5.07%)

State Senate Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	17	3	1
Republican	5	15	1
Non-Partisan	12	9	0
Other	11	9	1

In 14 districts (66.7%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is an increase of one district over last month.

State Assembly Districts

Party	# Districts Lose Voter Share	# Districts Gain Voter Share	# Districts No Change
Democratic	31	9	2
Republican	12	27	3
Non-Partisan	17	24	1
Other	15	22	5

In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is unchanged from last month.

With the Democratic Party continuing its decline, one has to wonder why state senate leadership felt it unnecessary to reach out to the growing Non-Partisan and minor party voters. Was killing the open primary bill, SB 103 in the best interest of the party? Voter registration trends provide the answer.