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Tuesday, August 1, 2017

Major Political Parties’ Downward Slide Continues

Can the Democratic and Republican Party in Nevada stop the downward slide in voter share? Looking at the just released voter registration statistics for July, 2017, it does not look like it. The only bright spot for the Republican Party was in the rural counties where they had a slight gain in voter share. Except for that, both the major parties lost voter share across all tracked demographics. As has been the trend, both Non-Partisan and the minor parties gained share.

The bad news does not stop there. For the second consecutive month, the Democratic Party lost voter share in all 21 state senate districts and all but one state assembly district. In the state’s congressional districts, for the first time, both Non-Partisan and minor parties gained voter share in all four districts.

State-Wide
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
1,218
0.21
39.23
-0.08
R
1,574
0.32
33.10
-0.03
NP
1,823
0.59
21.04
0.04
Other
1,340
1.38
6.64
0.06
Total not D or R


27.68
0.10
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters: IAP +0.63%; Lib +0.96%; other 5 parties +4.46%

Clark County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
952
0.21
42.88
-0.08
R
888
0.30
28.81
-0.03
NP
1,189
0.52
21.95
0.03
Other
1,.192
1.83
6.36
0.09
Total not D or R


28.31
0.12
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters: IAP +0.71%; Lib +1.11%; other 5 parties +5.97%

Washoe County
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
329
0.37
35.37
-0.08
R
526
0.56
37.58
-0.02
NP
534
1.08
19.90
0.09
Other
133
0.75
7.15
0.01
Total not D or R


27.05
0.10
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters: IAP +0.95%; Lib +0.89%; other 5 parties -0.03


Rural Counties
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
-63
-0.14
24.01
-0.06
R
160
0.17
51.01
0.03
NP
100
0.31
17.50
0.03
Other
15
0.11
7.49
0.00
Total not D or R


24.99
0.03
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters: IAP +0.01%; Lib +0.36%; other 5 parties +0.64%

18 – 34 Year Old
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
173
0.11
39.36
-0.09
R
237
0.27
22.50
-0.02
NP
456
0.39
29.83
0.02
Other
453
1.39
8.32
0.09
Total not D or R


38.15
0.11
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters: IAP +0.40%; Lib +1.10%; other 5 parties +3.86%

55+
Party
Change in # Voters
% Change
% Voter Share
Difference in Voter Share %
D
724
0.30
39.71
-0.06
R
1,063
0.43
40.51
-0.01
NP
602
0.69
14.49
0.03
Other
404
1.27
5.29
0.04
Total not D or R


19.78
0.07
Other includes IAP, Lib, and 5 parties without ballot access.
Change is # voters: IAP +0.76%; Lib +0.94%; other 5 parties +4.82%

 Major party loses also continue in congressional and legislative districts.

Congressional Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
4
0
0
Republican
4
0
0
Non-Partisan
0
4
0
Other
0
4
0
Both CD 1, CD 2, and CD 4 continue to show the number of voters not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. Note that Non-Partisan and minor parties gained voter share in all districts.

State Senate Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
21
0
0
Republican
16
3
2
Non-Partisan
2
17
2
Other
0
21
0
In 15 districts (71.4%) and an increase of one over June, the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. Note the Democratic Party lost voter share in all districts for the second consecutive month. At the same time, minor parties gained voter share in all districts.

State Assembly Districts
Party
# Districts Lose Voter Share
# Districts Gain Voter Share
# Districts No Change
Democratic
41
1
0
Republican
20
19
3
Non-Partisan
11
27
4
Other
7
34
1
Unchanged. In 31 districts (73.81%) the number of voters registered as Non-Partisan or the total number not affiliated with either major party is greater than or within 5% of the number of voters registered to one of the major parties. This is unchanged from last month. For the second consecutive month, the Democratic Party lost voter share in all but one district.


Senate bill 103 this last session attempted to address this trend. Senate Majority Leader Aaron Ford (D – Las Vegas) refused to give the bill a hearing. Not addressing the problem will not make it go away.   

1 comment:

  1. I firmly believe that if the nation as a whole continues down the trail of "non-partisan" registration, we'll see fewer caustic attacks on on on the Net, and far fewer dividing lines, for we'll have far less that separates us. We will be making choices as a nation, together and for the better of the nation, rather than 1) fighting one another over issues that don't matter in the lease bet 2) do nothing but divide and pit us against one another 3) blind us as the ricin's and powerful use our elections to run the nation how THEY see fit.


    They will most certainly exist, but they'll not be the effective tools partisan politics use so well today to turn us in wards as a battlefront to be fought an won against our own people.

    Without these internal conflicts taking our minds off the issues that truly do need our attention today - poverty, health care, education, jobs, etc. will become the focal point of elections, and who we put in DC and our state governments.

    In other words, return the government to THE PEOPLE.

    ReplyDelete